Wooden ARKK Machine 2.2b no IEF no TYO [RSI 11d/16d IEF IWM]
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Daily contrarian swing strategy. Compares a short momentum “heat” score of Treasuries vs small caps, then buys one recently beaten‑down high‑octane ETF (bull or bear) from a preset list. Keeps a cash buffer. High turnover and volatility.
Each day it compares a quick “heat” score (RSI: 0–100 of recent ups vs downs) of Treasuries (IEF) to small caps (IWM). If bonds’ score is higher, it buys 1 recently fallen bullish ETF (tech, small-caps, semis, China, biotech, ARK, long bonds). Otherwise it buys 1 fallen bearish ETF (inverse QQQ/ARKK/S&P, inverse bonds/biotech/real estate). ~70–80% invested; rest in cash. Very volatile.
Out-of-sample: ~71% annualized return vs SPY ~24%, Calmar ~1.48, beta ~0.96. Daily contrarian swing with a cash buffer seeks outsized upside while moderating market risk—even if drawdowns can be larger than the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 14, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical swing, mean-reversion, leveraged/inverse etfs, daily rebalance, risk-on/off, single-position, global sectors
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
LABD
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
LABU
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
SARK
Investment Managers Series Trust II Tradr 1X Short Innovation Daily ETF
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks