Wild West Trading of Natural Gas Using Optimized ETF Ratios
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A high-risk trading strategy that switches daily between betting on natural gas going up (UNG/UNL) or down (KOLD) using signals from commodities, bonds, and stock-market behavior.
This strategy is basically a daily coin flip on natural gas—but based on rules, not guesswork.
It mainly chooses between:
• UNG or UNL = betting natural gas will rise
• KOLD = betting natural gas will fall
To decide, it looks at whether other markets seem unusually hot, cold, calm, or jumpy. If broad commodities look washed out, it often buys gas. If market stress signals appear, it often shorts gas.
Out-of-sample shows negative performance: -33.98% annualized return, 6.73% max drawdown, Calmar -5.05, Sharpe -2.12. A high-risk gas-direction overlay; may diversify in rare regimes, but underperforms the S&P as a core holding.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.08 | -0.06 | 0 | -0.03 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 468.53% | 14.27% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.87 | |
| 63,686,826.29% | 178.94% | -13.25% | -9.9% | 3.49 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$6,368,692,628.92Regulatory Fees
$10,400,610.12
Total Slippage
$98,741,584.26
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 24, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Natural gas, tactical trading, long-short, commodity, high volatility, alternatives, non-correlated, regime-based
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 33 assets in total
Ticker
Type
ACWI
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BNDX
Vanguard Total International Bond ETF
Stocks
CWB
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Convertible Securities ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DGT
State Street SPDR Global Dow ETF
Stocks
EWZ
iShares MSCI Brazil ETF
Stocks
IGSB
iShares Trust iShares 1-5 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IHF
iShares U.S. Healthcare Providers ETF
Stocks
IWC
iShares Micro-Cap ETF
Stocks