Wild West Trading of Natural Gas Using Optimized ETF Ratios
Today’s Change (Feb 27, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules‑based natural‑gas strategy that flips between long (UNG/UNL or BOIL) and short (KOLD) using simple “heat‑meter” signals from other markets plus a fast tiebreaker. Designed as a non‑correlated sleeve. Extremely volatile and concentrated; large drawdowns possible.
Each day the algo checks market “thermometers.” If the broad commodity index (DBC) looks washed‑out on a 0–100 heat meter (RSI), it buys natural gas (UNG/UNL). If some hot stock groups look overheated, it bets against gas with KOLD (−2x). If neither, it runs a quick 3‑day race (PFF vs VMBS) to choose long (UNL/BOIL) or short (KOLD). UNG/UNL=nat‑gas, BOIL=+2x gas, KOLD=−2x, DBC=commodities, PFF=preferreds, VMBS=mortgages.
Out-of-sample tested, daily, rules-based natural gas strategy. Historically low correlation to the S&P and a distinct return stream that can help cushion drawdowns in equity downturns while offering potential upside from NG swings.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.14 | -0.08 | 0 | -0.03 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 402.96% | 13.94% | -0.5% | 1.72% | 0.85 | |
| 32,826,900.89% | 179.05% | 7.79% | 16.29% | 2.55 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,282,700,088.94Regulatory Fees
$4,681,374.57
Total Slippage
$33,617,518.18
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 5, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Commodities,natural gas,tactical trading,leveraged etfs,trend and mean‑reversion,daily rebalance,diversifier
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 28 assets in total
Ticker
Type
ACWI
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BOIL
ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas
Stocks
CWB
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Convertible Securities ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DGT
State Street SPDR Global Dow ETF
Stocks
EWZ
iShares MSCI Brazil ETF
Stocks
IHF
iShares U.S. Healthcare Providers ETF
Stocks
IWC
iShares Micro-Cap ETF
Stocks
KOLD
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas
Stocks