Wash Sale 2 WM 74 Calmer weighted
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily, rule-based rotation among ETFs using RSI and moving-average signals, with a KMLM-driven momentum gate and a wash-behavior layer to curb turnover; it tilts between stock exposure and hedges/bonds to chase gains while managing risk.
On each trading day the system runs through a large decision tree that scores many ETFs on momentum (RSI over 10–20 days), trend (current price vs 20/200‑day moving averages), and relative strength versus a benchmark. A special module labeled “KMLM switcher Wash” acts as the core momentum screen, comparing a broad set of assets against the KMLM gauge and selecting the strongest performers to own for the day. A companion “SPY/SH/SHV Wash” block decides whether to tilt toward stocks (SPY family), hedges (SH, SHV), or risk-off assets (SGOV, short-duration Treasuries) depending on whether momentum signals are overbought or risk cues rise. The strategy uses a layered, bear/bull framework (Bull, Bear, Long/Short Rotator, and Convergence Long/Short signals) to couple market regime with portfolio construction. The final exposure is typically 100% to the chosen asset(s) (weight 100/100) or a calmer split (e.g., 50/50) to manage turnover. It rebalances daily, so holdings reflect the latest signals rather than a fixed allocation. The model also includes “wash sale” style logic (the many nested KMLM and SPY/SH/SHV wash blocks) intended to avoid rapid buy-sell cycles around the same instruments, effectively moderating turnover and potential tax or rule-related frictions. In practice, you’ll see frequent rotations among popular ETFs (SPY, QQQ family, SSO, QLD, ROM, SPUU) and less famous ones (KMLM, SGOV, VOX/VOO/VE? lines) depending on the momentum regime and the KMLM trigger. The approach targets capturing upside in rising markets while prioritizing capital preservation during volatility by shifting toward shorter-duration Treasuries or hedged/short stock instruments when signals invert. The result is a dynamic, algorithmic “rotation with a bias toward momentum and risk-control” rather than a static buy‑and‑hold approach.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers ~51% annualized return with ~14% max drawdown and Sharpe ~1.56, vs SPY ~17% return, ~19% drawdown, Sharpe ~0.96. Momentum rotation with regime hedging and wash logic boosts upside while reducing risk.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 25, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Quantitative rotation, momentum, risk‑management, tax-aware wash logic, cross-asset hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 61 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
ALTY
Global X Funds Global X Alternative Income ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
CLSE
Convergence Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
CTA
Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EEV
ProShares Trust UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
FXE
Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Currency Trust
Stocks
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
Stocks