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About
A daily, two-sleeve rotation that uses simple “heat” checks on stocks and bonds to flip between bull or bear leveraged ETFs, then picks either the short‑term winner (momentum) or loser (contrarian). Concentrated, fast-moving, with ~10% cash.
Daily steps:
- RSI (a quick “heat” score of recent buying vs selling) on SPY. If SPY is very strong, also check long‑bond heat (TMF).
- Compare bonds (IEF) vs small‑caps (IWM) to choose risk‑on bulls or risk‑off bears.
- In two equal sleeves, buy 1 ETF each: the recent 4‑day winner (momentum) or loser (contrarian). Bulls include TECL/TQQQ (tech), SOXL (semis), LABU (biotech), URTY (small‑caps), DRN (real estate), TMF (bonds). Bears are their inverse (PSQ, SH, SRTY, DRV, TMV, etc). ~10% cash.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~115% with Calmar ~2.82 and Sharpe ~1.32, offering strong risk-adjusted upside vs the S&P 500. Note higher drawdowns (~41%). A regime-based two-sleeve rotation aims to capture market trends.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, leveraged etfs, momentum and mean reversion, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
HIBS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
LABD
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
LABU
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks