WAMgasm Backtest mod | BT 1/1/2016
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A fast, rules-based rotation that flips between 3x bull or bear sector/index ETFs using simple stock-and-bond strength signals. It aims to ride trends when markets are hot and switch to inverse hedges when they weaken. Very high risk and swingy.
It watches 3 dials: 1) S&P 500 “heat” (RSI, a quick score of how hot recent gains are). 2) Bond tailwind (TMF’s RSI; TMF = 3x long US Treasuries). 3) Stocks vs bonds (small-caps IWM vs Treasuries IEF). If risk is on, it buys the 1–3 strongest 3x bull funds (tech/chips/biotech/small-caps/RE/financials/miners/EM). If risk is off, it buys the strongest bear versions. Equal-weight; no set rebalance date.
Out-of-sample, this strategy uses leveraged trend bets in 3x ETFs to chase higher upside, delivering ~32.5% annualized return vs SPY’s ~22.8%, at the cost of higher volatility and larger drawdowns. Best for aggressive, risk-tolerant growth investors.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.88 | 0.92 | 0.07 | 0.27 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 287.6% | 13.46% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.8 | |
| 662,987.08% | 127.07% | 16.57% | 11.64% | 1.64 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$66,308,707.56Regulatory Fees
$300,554.31
Total Slippage
$2,118,211.71
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 4, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation,momentum/mean reversion,leveraged/inverse etfs,risk-on/risk-off,sector rotation,rate-sensitive signals
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 28 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
DUST
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X Shares
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares, Shares of beneficial interest, no par value
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
FAZ
Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
LABD
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares
Stocks