WAMgasm Backtest mod | BT 1/1/2016
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
An aggressive, rules-based rotation. It compares stock vs bond strength and a bond trend check to buy the fastest-rising leveraged ETFs (or their inverse). Blends momentum and mean reversion, equal-weights selections. Very high risk/volatility.
Your money is split across mini-systems. Each checks: are stocks stronger than bonds (IWM vs IEF)? Is long Treasuries (TMF) trending? RSI is a 0–100 “heat” score of recent buying; high = strong.
If risk-on, it buys the fastest-rising leveraged ETFs in tech/Nasdaq (TECL, TQQQ), S&P 500 (UPRO), small caps (TNA/URTY), semis (SOXL), biotech (LABU), real estate (DRN), EM (EDC), gold miners (NUGT). If risk-off, it buys inverse versions (SPXS/SPXU, TZA/SRTY, DRV, FAZ, LABD, EDZ, DUST) or shorts bonds (TYO/TMV). Sometimes, when TMF isn’t strong, it buys recent laggards for snap-backs. It picks 1–3 and weights them equally.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers higher upside: ~32.5% annualized vs SPY ~22.8%, with Calmar ~0.73. Using regime-switching and momentum, it targets strong long-run returns and disciplined risk vs the S&P 500, even with larger drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.87 | 0.9 | 0.07 | 0.26 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 302.85% | 13.7% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.81 | |
| 631,589.68% | 123.96% | -4.62% | 15.12% | 1.61 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$63,168,968.34Regulatory Fees
$328,602.24
Total Slippage
$2,318,116.74
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 4, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, momentum + mean reversion, leveraged/inverse etfs, sector rotation, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 28 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
DUST
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X ETF
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
FAZ
Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
LABD
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X ETF
Stocks