V1b BWC: Which WAM Wins
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Two-mode, RSI-activated momentum system that selects a single levered ETF (long or short) every 15 days from a pool of candidates, based on a relative-strength signal between IEF and IWM and a 4-day momentum ranking.
- The model runs on 15-day cycles. On each cycle, it checks a signal: RSI(I E F, 11d) vs RSI(IWM, 16d). If RSI(IEF,11d) > RSI(IWM,16d), the system treats the environment as favorable to long/leveraged bets; otherwise it favors short/bearable bets.
- There are two main decision blocks (two “Wooden ARKK Machine” modules) that each have a long-universe and a short-universe sub-block. Each block has a list of candidate ETFs (long-levered: TECL, URTY, TMF, YINN, EDC, LABU, HIBL, TARK, SOXX; short/bear: PSQ, SARK, TMV, DRV, TYO, JDST, LABD, SH, plus similar long list in the other branch).
- Within each sub-block, the ETFs are ranked by recent momentum using a 4-day moving-average return. The rule selects the bottom-ranked option (i.e., the one at the tail of that momentum ranking) and assigns it a full 100% weight within that sub-block for the next holding period.
- The top-level weights allocate capital across the two blocks (e.g., 80% to one block and 20% to the other, with similar structure in the second module). The exact numbers in the description show two modules with different weights, but the intent is to allocate capital across a bullish-path and a bearish-path depending on the RSI signal, then rebalance every 15 days.
- In short: the model uses a simple RSI-based regime switch to decide between long-levered bets and short-levered bets, then uses a momentum screen to pick a single instrument within the chosen universe and hold it for 15 days.
Out-of-sample edge: ~25.7% annualized return vs S&P ~24.4%, with a disciplined RSI-driven long/short momentum system using levered ETFs. Two-engine design offers diversification across regimes; note the risk of large drawdowns (~64%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.96 | 0.41 | 0.01 | 0.09 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69.8% | 15.04% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.91 | |
| 75,041.65% | 477.12% | 10.06% | 51.39% | 2.75 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$7,514,165.37Regulatory Fees
$31,353.41
Total Slippage
$206,636.91
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 16, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Quant, multi-asset, leveraged etfs, rsi-based signal, momentum ranking, long/short
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
JDST
Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bear 2X ETF
Stocks
LABD
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
LABU
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks