V1a HAA CANARY + DUAL MOMENTUM + BLACK SWAN CATCHER
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules‑based portfolio with three layers: a crash‑catcher that briefly buys UVXY when fear builds; a TIP “canary” to flip risk‑on/off; and a top‑4 momentum sleeve across stocks, bonds, real estate, and commodities. Cash/T‑bills (BIL) is the fallback.
Daily, it stacks three checks:
1) Trend: is the S&P 500 (SPY) above its 200‑day average?
2) Crash‑catcher: RSI is a 0–100 “heat meter” of recent speed. If leveraged stock funds look overheated or if UVXY’s RSI spikes, it buys UVXY (a fear/VIX fund) briefly; if SPY looks washed‑out (RSI<30), it hides in T‑bills (BIL).
3) Canary + momentum: If TIP’s 12‑mo return ≥ 0, own the top 4 trending ETFs (from QQQ, SOXX, SPY, TLT, IEF, DBC, VNQ, EEM, EFA, IWM, BIL) using 12/6/3/1‑mo lookbacks; else hold BIL.
Out-of-sample, this strategy trims drawdowns (14.2% vs 18.8% SPY), yields strong risk-adjusted returns (Calmar ~1.28) with lower volatility and diversified upside across assets—offering steadier growth and less downside than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.49 | -0.2 | 0.01 | -0.09 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605.13% | 14.55% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 35,803.84% | 50.57% | -0.04% | 11.63% | 1.29 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,590,383.51Regulatory Fees
$8,251.06
Total Slippage
$55,369.35
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 7, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, momentum, trend following, volatility hedge, crash protection, tactical asset allocation, risk management, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks