TQQQ FTLTO (Longer Backtest)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Aggressive, tech-heavy, rules-driven plan that flips between leveraged stock ETFs and defensive/short positions. Uses a 200-day trend filter, short-term heat/oversold signals (RSI), and bond-vs-stock strength. Includes volatility trades. Very high risk.
Step 1: Is the S&P 500 above its 200-day average? If yes, Bull; if not, Bear. A moving average is the average of recent prices (trend). RSI is a 0–100 gauge of recent gains vs losses; high=overbought, low=oversold.
Bull: mostly own the hottest 3x stock/tech funds (TQQQ, SOXL, TECL, UPRO/UDOW) plus short-vol (SVXY). If things run too hot, briefly buy long-vol (UVXY) or a single defensive leader (long Treasuries, US dollar, staples).
Bear: buy bounces when oversold, or go defensive/short Nasdaq (PSQ/SQQQ) when trend is down, guided by bond strength (TLT).
Out-of-sample: ~33.7% annualized return vs ~23.2% for the S&P, with higher upside potential and adaptive hedges that ride uptrends; however it endures larger drawdowns (~53% vs ~19%). Suited for risk-tolerant, growth-focused investors seeking superior upside.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 20, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical market-timing, trend/momentum/mean-reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, long/short, tech-heavy
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 21 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SCO
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks