TQQQ FTLTO (Longer Backtest)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A tactical, trend‑aware strategy that rotates between leveraged tech exposure and defensive/short positions. It uses simple trend/heat signals to chase strength, fade extremes, and protect in selloffs. High risk from leveraged and volatility ETFs.
Trend first: if the S&P 500 is above its 200‑day average (uptrend), run a bull plan; otherwise a bear plan. Moving average = average price; RSI = 0–100 heat gauge (high=hot, low=cold).
Bull: hold leveraged tech/US stock funds (TQQQ/SOXL/TECL/UPRO/UDOW) plus short‑vol (SVXY). If too hot, briefly buy long‑vol (UVXY). Sometimes rotate to one strong defensive asset.
Bear: if very cold, try rebound trades; else cut risk or short the Nasdaq (PSQ/SQQQ). In deep/choppy drops, favor safer broad‑market/staples.
Out-of-sample: ~33.7% annualized return vs S&P 500 ~23.3%, driven by tactical leveraged tech bets with hedges; higher upside, but expect deeper drawdowns in downturns (~53%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.49 | 0.17 | 0.41 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 570.79% | 14.38% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 296,748,271.84% | 186.42% | -7.55% | 7.99% | 2.05 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$29,674,837,183.96Regulatory Fees
$93,923,394.77
Total Slippage
$675,570,776.54
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 20, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime switching, momentum/trend, leveraged etfs, volatility, long/short nasdaq, tactical rotation, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 21 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SCO
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks