Total Market Trend 4 - 3 W/Shorter Trends
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based trend follower. ~60% goes to SPY, QQQ, DIA, IWM (15% each), ~40% sits in cash. For each index, 3 moving-average checks scale between the standard ETF and its 3x version—pressing in uptrends and easing off otherwise.
It tracks 4 US stock baskets: SPY (S&P 500), QQQ (big tech), DIA (Dow 30), IWM (small caps). Each targets ~15%. For each, 3 tests compare faster vs slower price averages (5>20, 20>60, 60>120 days). Each bullish test moves one‑third into the 3x version (SPXL, TQQQ, UDOW, URTY); bearish keeps the 1x ETF. About 40% stays in cash. No set rebalancing; it adjusts only when these trend signals flip.
Out-of-sample, this strategy aims ~34–35% annualized return across four US sleeves with ~40% cash, using trend-driven 3x leverage to capture upside beyond SPY while moderating risk—though drawdowns can be larger in choppy markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.03 | 2.11 | 0.88 | 0.94 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 744.59% | 14.24% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.86 | |
| 2,702.27% | 23.12% | -1.51% | 0.4% | 0.73 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$280,226.92Regulatory Fees
$106.68
Total Slippage
$595.01
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 23, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, us equities, moving averages, rules-based
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UDOW
ProShares UltraPro Dow 30
Stocks
URTY
ProShares UltraPro Russell2000
Stocks