Total Market Trend 4 - 3 W/Shorter Trends
Today’s Change (Apr 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A US stock trend strategy split across S&P 500, Nasdaq‑100, Dow 30, and small‑caps. For each, it shifts between regular ETFs and their 3× versions based on short-, medium-, and long‑term trend checks, aiming to boost gains in uptrends while dialing back in chop.
It splits money across four big US stock indexes: S&P 500 (SPY), Nasdaq‑100 (QQQ), Dow 30 (DIA), and small‑caps (IWM). In each sleeve, 3 equal parts check if a short‑term average price is above a longer one (≈1wk>1mo; 1mo>3mo; 3mo>6mo). If up, it uses the 3x version (SPXL/TQQQ/UDOW/URTY: aims for ~3× the index’s daily move). If not, it holds the regular 1× ETF. It stays invested and adjusts when signals flip or weights drift ~10%.
Out-of-sample return 34.8% vs SPY’s 22.5%, with Calmar ~0.91. A four-sleeve, trend-following approach across SPY/QQQ/DIA/IWM uses selective leverage in uptrends for higher upside with disciplined risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.03 | 2.11 | 0.88 | 0.94 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 710.67% | 13.87% | -4.19% | -3.74% | 0.84 | |
| 2,421.32% | 22.18% | -10.73% | -8.38% | 0.71 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$252,132.41Regulatory Fees
$109.37
Total Slippage
$612.69
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 23, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Us equities, trend-following, multi-timeframe momentum, leveraged etfs, tactical allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UDOW
ProShares UltraPro Dow 30
Stocks
URTY
ProShares UltraPro Russell2000
Stocks