The Treasury Effect
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Blends Treasury trend trades with aggressive tech/volatility tilts. Rides uptrends with leveraged ETFs and shifts to cash or fear hedges when markets overheat or weaken, aiming to smooth returns and reduce deep drawdowns.
About half trades U.S. Treasuries—betting on bonds rising (TMF/TLT) or falling (TMV). The rest rides growth with supercharged tech funds (TQQQ/TECL/SOXL) and calm markets (SVXY), but flips to hedges—fear funds that rise in panics (VIXY/UVXY) or cash-like bills (BIL/SHV)—when warnings appear. Warnings use trend vs average price and an overheated/washed‑out gauge (RSI). A 200‑day filter switches bull/bear playbooks.
Diversified, regime-aware strategy blending Treasuries, leveraged tech, and crash hedges. Out-of-sample: ~17.6% vs SPY ~21%; Sharpe ~0.77 vs ~1.25—seeks smoother, more resilient growth via hedges and trend rules.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.53 | 0.64 | 0.18 | 0.43 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 585.13% | 14.59% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.9 | |
| 476,303.39% | 82.12% | 0.88% | 3.3% | 2.53 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$47,640,339.25Regulatory Fees
$157,900.42
Total Slippage
$1,097,142.78
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 1, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical multi-asset, treasuries, leveraged equities, volatility, trend/momentum, crash protection
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 27 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SCO
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks