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The Treasury Effect
Today’s Change

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About

Half in tactical Treasuries (can go long, short, or cash). Half in an aggressive, tech‑tilted stock engine with a volatility overlay. Uses trend and “overbought/oversold” signals to dial risk up in uptrends and down in selloffs.
NutHow it works
It splits the portfolio 50/50. - Treasury side rotates among: TMF (bet on rising bond prices), TMV (bet on falling bond prices), or safer bond/cash funds (TLT, BND, SHV) using trend checks and a “speedometer” of recent moves (RSI: low=cold, high=hot). - Stock side goes aggressive in uptrends (leveraged tech like TQQQ/TECL/SOXL plus some SVXY) and defensive in stress (PSQ/SQQQ, staples, dollar, or VIXY/UVXY). Extra rules cut risk when the Nasdaq weakens.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample: 18.1% annualized return, Calmar 0.79, max drawdown ~23%. A 50/50 mix of tactical Treasuries and a tech/volatility sleeve provides diversified, risk-aware exposure that complements the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
Alpha
Beta
R2
R
0.54
0.64
0.18
0.42
Performance Metrics
Cumulative Return
Annualized Return
Trailing 1M Return
Trailing 3M Return
Sharpe Ratio
581.34%
14.88%
3.07%
6.63%
0.91
461,515.37%
84.06%
1.15%
5.43%
2.56
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$46,161,536.78
Regulatory Fees
$143,964.94
Total Slippage
$1,000,266.99
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 1, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend-following, risk-on/risk-off, treasuries vs equities, volatility overlay, leveraged etfs, tech tilt
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type