The All Weather Trader
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based, all‑weather portfolio. It rides uptrends in tech stocks (QQQ/SPY), Treasuries, commodities (incl. oil/nat gas), gold, and the U.S. dollar, and quickly cuts risk to T‑Bills or uses inverse/volatility ETFs when markets overheat or turn down. Uses some leveraged ETFs.
Signals: Moving average = average price over X days (trend). RSI (0–100) = recent buying vs selling; high = hot/overbought, low = washed‑out/oversold. Cum. return = % move over X days.
It splits the portfolio into sleeves (stocks, bonds, commodities, gold, U.S. dollar, energy/nat‑gas, volatility). In uptrends it owns them (sometimes with leveraged funds). If trends weaken or prices get “too hot” or crash, it shifts to cash‑like T‑Bills (SHV/SHY) or hedges (inverse/volatility ETFs).
Out-of-sample Sharpe 1.76 vs SPY 1.23; max drawdown 7.46% vs 18.76%; Calmar 2.31 signals superior risk-adjusted return and lower tail risk. A diversified, trend-following strategy offering stability and downside protection vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.14 | 0.2 | 0.23 | 0.48 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 520.53% | 14.71% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.9 | |
| 833.52% | 18.29% | 1.16% | 3.61% | 2.4 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$93,352.34Regulatory Fees
$257.80
Total Slippage
$1,589.54
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 24, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, trend-following, momentum, tactical allocation, risk-managed, hedging, volatility, leveraged/inverse etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 45 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BOIL
ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CPER
United States Copper Index Fund
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
FAN
First Trust Global Wind Energy ETF
Stocks
FCG
First Trust Natural Gas ETF
Stocks