The 12% Solution
Today’s Change (Aug 24, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Monthly, 60% rotates into the strongest stock (or short‑term Treasury) ETF; 40% switches between riskier corporate bonds (JNK) and long‑term Treasuries (TLT) based on recent trends, aiming for steadier returns near a 12% target.
Each month: 60% goes to whichever did best over ~3 months among QQQ (big tech/Nasdaq 100), SPY (large U.S. stocks), MDY (mid‑size U.S. stocks), IWM (small U.S. stocks), or SHY (short‑term U.S. Treasuries) so it can step aside if stocks are weak.
The other 40% flips based on recent strength: JNK (riskier corporate bonds) when it’s beating TLT, or TLT (long‑term U.S. Treasuries) when it’s stronger.
Momentum-based ETF rotation plus a bond hedge delivers lower out-of-sample drawdowns (11.68% vs SPY 18.76%), about 0.5 market beta, and steadier risk-adjusted performance—a resilient core alongside the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06 | 0.31 | 0.26 | 0.51 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 739.97% | 12.24% | 2.33% | 3.36% | 0.68 | |
| 459.53% | 9.8% | 0.2% | 0.19% | 0.85 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$55,953.02Regulatory Fees
$67.71
Total Slippage
$570.44
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 21, 2022
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, momentum, etf rotation, risk-on/risk-off, trend following, bonds and equities, monthly rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
JNK
State Street SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF
Stocks
MDY
State Street SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks