Terminator Trend | 2024-2028
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules-based, daily “risk-on/risk-off” plan: short when markets look overheated, buy a small‑cap/cyclical ETF basket when they look oversold or trend higher; otherwise sit in SPY, PSQ, or cash‑like T‑bills (SHV).
Daily tactical switch. It gauges how “hot” or “cold” markets are with RSI (0–100: high=overbought, low=oversold) and simple trends (price vs average). When overheated, it scales into inverse funds SH (short S&P 500) and EUM (short emerging markets), blended by recent volatility to smooth bumps. When washed‑out or trending up, it buys a risk‑on basket tilted to small‑caps (IWM, VB, SCHA, SPSM, IJR), cyclicals (XLF, XLI, KBWB) and growth (ARKK, XAR). If signals disagree, it may hold SPY, PSQ, or cash‑like T‑bills (SHV).
Out-of-sample edge: ~19% annual return with Sharpe ~1.04 vs SPY ~0.84, Calmar ~0.95. A risk-on/off, small-cap/cyclicals tilt with hedges targets higher long-run growth and disciplined risk vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.23 | 0.45 | 0.2 | 0.45 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 311.42% | 13.32% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.8 | |
| 2,099.25% | 31.43% | 4.98% | 15.23% | 1.64 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$219,924.67Regulatory Fees
$899.00
Total Slippage
$5,546.86
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 9, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, mean reversion, tactical etfs, inverse etfs, small-cap tilt, daily rebalancing, risk-on/off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 25 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
ARKK
ARK Innovation ETF
Stocks
EUM
ProShares Trust Short MSCI Emerging Markets
Stocks
IJR
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
Stocks
IOO
iShares Global 100 ETF
Stocks
IVV
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
KBWB
Invesco KBW Bank ETF
Stocks
MGC
Vanguard Mega Cap 300 Index ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks