Terminator Trend | 2024-2028
Today’s Change (Feb 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules-based “trend and heat” strategy: hedge with inverse funds when markets run too hot, buy a small-cap/cyclical ETF basket when they’re washed out, and otherwise use trend filters with cash fallback to manage risk.
Daily rules use RSI, a 0–100 heat meter of recent price moves, on major indexes/sectors.
- Very hot → hedge with SH (short S&P 500) and EUM (short emerging markets), sized by volatility.
- Very cold → buy a preset basket tilted to small-caps/financials/industrials/banks/innovation/defense (IWM, VB, SCHA, SPSM, IJR, XLF, XLI, KBWB, ARKK, XAR).
- Otherwise, trend filters (SPY 125-day, QQQ 25-day) choose the basket vs PSQ (short Nasdaq) or cash-like SHV.
Out-of-sample strength: Sharpe 1.04 vs SPY 0.84; annualized return ~19.22% vs 14.74%; beta ~0.66 (less market risk); positive alpha ~0.09; Calmar ≈0.95. Trend-based strategy with hedging to protect and grow capital.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.22 | 0.45 | 0.2 | 0.45 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 314% | 13.43% | 1.75% | 5.97% | 0.8 | |
| 1,947.66% | 30.7% | 1.25% | 16.18% | 1.61 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$204,765.87Regulatory Fees
$877.55
Total Slippage
$5,416.62
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 9, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical trend, momentum/rsi, inverse hedging, small-cap tilt, sector rotation, daily rebalanced, risk-managed equities
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 25 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
ARKK
ARK Innovation ETF
Stocks
EUM
ProShares Trust Short MSCI Emerging Markets
Stocks
IJR
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
Stocks
IOO
iShares Global 100 ETF
Stocks
IVV
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
KBWB
Invesco KBW Bank ETF
Stocks
MGC
Vanguard Mega Cap 300 Index ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks