Strong Momentum Model
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A monthly market-timing strategy that uses BIT as a risk signal, then rotates into the single strongest ETF from either an aggressive or a more defensive watchlist.
Once a month, the strategy first checks whether BIT is trading above its 84-day average price. If yes, it looks across a high-risk list and buys the single fund with the best 139-day performance. If no, it switches to a steadier list and buys the single fund with the best 13-day performance. It always holds just one fund at a time.
Out-of-sample return 9.12% vs SPY -18.50%; positive risk-adjusted profile (Sharpe 0.43, Calmar 1.22) and negative beta (-0.34) offer diversification. A monthly, regime-switching momentum strategy aiming for higher risk-adjusted gains than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.57 | 1.11 | 0.1 | 0.32 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 277.66% | 14.97% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.85 | |
| 16,733.53% | 71.3% | -12.36% | -6.81% | 1.17 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,683,352.98Regulatory Fees
$887.61
Total Slippage
$7,188.96
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 11, 2026
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, momentum, regime switching, trend following, single-etf rotation, leveraged/inverse etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BCD
abrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Longer Dated Strategy K-1 Free ETF
Stocks
BIT
BLACKROCK MULTI-SECTOR INCOME TRUST
Stocks
DBE
Invesco DB Energy Fund
Stocks
EFAV
iShares MSCI EAFE Min Vol Factor ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
PSL
Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust Invesco Dorsey Wright Consumer Staples Momentum ETF
Stocks
SDP
ProShares UltraShort Utilities
Stocks
SKF
ProShares UltraShort Financials
Stocks
SMN
ProShares UltraShort Materials
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks