Strong Momentum Model
Today’s Change (Feb 27, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A monthly, one‑ETF momentum strategy gated by Bitcoin’s trend: if BTC is rising, choose the 6‑month top performer from aggressive sector funds; if falling, choose the recent 3‑week leader from defensive/growth ETFs.
Each month, the model asks: Is Bitcoin above its 84‑day average price (a simple trend gauge)? If yes, buy 1 ETF: the best 139‑day performer from aggressive bull/bear sector funds or cash (e.g., semiconductors, Nasdaq‑100). If no, buy 1 ETF: the best 13‑day performer from defensive/growth choices (gold, broad commodities, low‑vol S&P 500, large‑cap growth). Hold until next month.
Out-of-sample, this strategy shows superior risk-adjusted returns: Sharpe ~3.44 vs SPY ~1.67 and annualized ~358% vs ~20%, driven by a Bitcoin regime switch that rides trends and shifts to defense in pullbacks. Drawdown is higher than SPY, but upside potential is substantial.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.86 | -0.73 | 0.07 | -0.27 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.31% | 25.91% | -0.5% | 1.72% | 1.3 | |
| 65.23% | 70.95% | 12.9% | 48.79% | 1.29 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$16,522.90Regulatory Fees
$2.96
Total Slippage
$18.76
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 6, 2025
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, trend-following, tactical, risk-on/risk-off, monthly rebalance, leveraged & inverse etfs, crypto signal, single-position
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 19 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BCD
abrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Longer Dated Strategy K-1 Free ETF
Stocks
BIT
BLACKROCK MULTI-SECTOR INCOME TRUST
Stocks
DBE
Invesco DB Energy Fund
Stocks
EFAV
iShares MSCI EAFE Min Vol Factor ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
PSL
Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust Invesco Dorsey Wright Consumer Staples Momentum ETF
Stocks
SDP
ProShares UltraShort Utilities
Stocks
SKF
ProShares UltraShort Financials
Stocks
SMN
ProShares UltraShort Materials
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks