[STRATGPT] Bond Triggered ETF Strategy with Inverse ETFs
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Equal-weight SPY/QQQ/IWM/SOXX sleeves. Each uses a bond “traffic light”: if that bond is rising (RSI>50), hold the stock; else hold the bond. If the stock runs very hot (RSI>70), flip to its inverse (SOXS is 3×). Daily rebalanced.
Portfolio uses 4 sleeves: SPY (large US stocks), QQQ (big tech), IWM (small caps), SOXX (chipmakers). Each has a bond “traffic light”: BIL (T‑bills), TLT (20+yr), IEF (7–10yr), AGG (broad bonds). RSI = 0–100 recent strength; >50 rising, >70 very hot. If that bond’s RSI >50, hold the stock—unless the stock’s RSI >70, then use its inverse (SH/PSQ/RWM; SOXS is 3× inverse, higher risk). If not >50, stay in the bond. Equal weight; checked daily.
Out-of-sample edge: ~23.1% annualized return vs ~22% for the S&P. Solid risk-adjusted metrics (Calmar ~1.07, Sharpe ~1.37) and a low market beta (~0.71) offer diversification. Note occasional higher drawdowns, but compelling long-term upside.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 4, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation,momentum filter,mean reversion,inverse etfs,multi-asset,equities and bonds,daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
RWM
ProShares Short Russell2000
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
Stocks