Simplified Base 2 - MSFU
Today’s Change (Oct 30, 2026)
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About
A market-timing strategy that usually bets on amplified Microsoft gains, but switches to a defensive hedge fund or T-bills when the market looks overheated or unstable.
This strategy usually wants to own MSFU, a fund that amplifies Microsoft’s daily moves.
But first it checks whether parts of the stock market look too hot using RSI, a speedometer of recent price moves. If many growth, tech, or market indexes have risen too fast, it switches to defense: either BTAL (a hedge-like fund) or BIL (short-term Treasury bills).
If those warning signs are absent, it holds MSFU.
Out-of-sample: ~24.4% annualized vs S&P ~19.9%, with built-in hedges (BTAL/BIL) to lock in upside while avoiding overheated markets. Note: drawdowns can be much larger in stress; risk-adjusted metrics still competitive.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.13 | 1.68 | 0.33 | 0.57 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104.55% | 18.92% | 0.68% | 5.73% | 1.17 | |
| 301.01% | 39.96% | 10.13% | 78.24% | 0.95 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$40,101.12Regulatory Fees
$84.25
Total Slippage
$574.38
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 26, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, market timing, leveraged single-stock, risk-on/risk-off, technology, defensive hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
MSFU
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
VOOG
Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
Stocks
VOOV
Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF
Stocks