QL-02 | Enhanced ETF Momentum Strategy
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules‑based ETF “momentum with a safety switch” strategy: when the S&P 500 is rising, own the 3 hottest funds from a mixed menu of broad markets and tech/themes; when it’s weak, shift fully to either long‑term Treasuries or gold.
1) Check the last 6 months of the S&P 500 (via SPY). If it’s up, the strategy goes “risk‑on.” If not, it goes “risk‑off.”
Risk‑on: Pick the 3 best‑performing funds over the last 6 months from a menu that includes broad US stocks (SPY, QQQ), small caps (IWM), value (VTV), developed markets (VEA), gold (GLD), and fast‑moving themes like AI/automation (CHAT, FBOT), crypto/digital payments (FDIG), metaverse (FMET), quantum tech (QTUM), and nuclear energy (NUKZ). Split money evenly and rebalance daily.
Risk‑off: Move 100% into whichever did better over the last month: long‑term US Treasury bonds (TLT) or gold (GLD).
Out-of-sample shows ~50% annualized return vs the S&P’s ~25%, plus a Calmar ~2.37. This momentum framework captures strong uptrends while enforcing a risk-off shield (bonds/gold) when markets falter, offering higher upside with disciplined risk controls.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.13 | 0.73 | 0.2 | 0.45 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.58% | 17.59% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 1.02 | |
| 41% | 23.97% | 1.31% | 1.35% | 0.91 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$14,099.65Regulatory Fees
$17.10
Total Slippage
$78.54
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 27, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Etf rotation, momentum, trend filter, risk-on/risk-off, tactical allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
CHAT
Roundhill Generative AI & Technology ETF
Stocks
FBCG
Fidelity Blue Chip Growth ETF
Stocks
FBOT
Fidelity Disruptive Automation ETF
Stocks
FDIG
Fidelity Crypto Industry and Digital Payments ETF
Stocks
FMET
Fidelity Metaverse ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
NUKZ
Range Nuclear Renaissance Index ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QTUM
Defiance Quantum ETF
Stocks