Multiple KMLM RNIF IBTK
Today’s Change (Jan 20, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules‑based rotation that toggles between leveraged Nasdaq, cash/short Treasuries, and inverse hedges, plus an emerging‑markets long/short sleeve. Signals come from RSI, simple trend filters, a managed‑futures gauge (KMLM), and an inflation proxy (RINF).
Each day the portfolio splits across 3 rule sets.
1) Tech/hedge: Uses RSI (0–100 score of recent up vs down days) on the Nasdaq (QQQ) and a trend fund (KMLM, a managed‑futures ETF) to flip among leveraged Nasdaq (TQQQ), cash‑like T‑Bills (BIL), or mild short hedges (PSQ, SPDN, TBF).
2) Emerging markets: An inflation gauge (RINF) chooses which bond‑vs‑stock check to use; that check decides long EEM or inverse EEV.
3) Quick check: Compare very short T‑Bills (BIL) vs slightly longer Treasuries (IBTK) and whether stocks look overheated to hold SHY/cash, TQQQ/QLD, or PSQ.
Out-of-sample return: ~24.6% vs 18.3% for the S&P, with a Calmar ~0.72. A momentum-driven, inflation-aware strategy with an EM sleeve and hedges offers higher upside and diversification; note drawdowns can be larger (~34%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.72 | 0.6 | 0.17 | 0.42 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69.43% | 13.14% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.79 | |
| 2,540.03% | 115.25% | 0.84% | 17.71% | 3.16 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$264,002.61Regulatory Fees
$658.67
Total Slippage
$3,950.89
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 8, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical momentum, risk-on/risk-off, managed futures signal, leveraged & inverse etfs, inflation filter, emerging markets
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EEV
ProShares Trust UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
IBTK
iShares iBonds Dec 2030 Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IGIB
iShares Trust iShares 5-10 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks