Multiple KMLM RNIF IBTK
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About
A daily tactical strategy that rotates among tech (TQQQ/QLD), cash-like T‑bills (BIL), managed futures (KMLM), and bearish hedges (PSQ/SPDN/TBF). About one‑third also flips emerging markets (EEM vs EEV) using an inflation‑regime filter (RINF) and bond‑vs‑stock leadership.
It’s a daily, rules-based “risk on/off” mix that watches simple momentum gauges (RSI: a 0–100 hot/cold score).
• Tech/hedge: If Nasdaq (QQQ) looks washed out (RSI <30), hold a mix of TQQQ and cash-like BIL. If QQQ is too hot (~>80), park in BIL. Otherwise, favor KMLM (a trend‑following futures fund) when it looks stronger than stocks/bonds; if not, use simple hedges (PSQ/SPDN/TBF) or lean into tech (TQQQ).
• Foreign: About one‑third flips between emerging markets (EEM) and its inverse (EEV) using an inflation gauge (RINF) plus whether bonds or stocks are leading.
• Rates check: Compares T‑bills (BIL) vs a 2030 Treasury ETF (IBTK) to decide whether to lean long tech (TQQQ/QLD) or defensive (PSQ/SHY), with a quick bond‑market cross‑check.
Higher upside: out-of-sample annualized return ~25.6% vs S&P 18.5%, Sharpe ~1.01 vs ~0.98, via a disciplined multi-regime mix (tech, futures, EM hedges). Note: drawdowns ~34% vs ~19%—higher risk, suitable for risk-tolerant investors.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | 0.59 | 0.17 | 0.41 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64.32% | 11.87% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.73 | |
| 2,600.1% | 110.48% | 0.86% | 4.49% | 3.08 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$270,010.32Regulatory Fees
$719.25
Total Slippage
$4,311.34
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 8, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend-following, risk-on/risk-off, relative strength, managed futures, leveraged & inverse etfs, emerging markets
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EEV
ProShares Trust UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets
Stocks
HIBL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
IBTK
iShares iBonds Dec 2030 Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IGIB
iShares Trust iShares 5-10 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks