Modified Foreign Rat
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Daily, rule-based switcher. In scary markets: mostly T‑Bills and hedges, only buy 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ) on deep dips. In calmer markets: 90% long or short Emerging Markets with 3x ETFs, guided by trend and bond/stock signals.
Step 1: Is market “fear” hot? (VIXM, a volatility fund). If yes, the plan mostly parks in T‑Bills (BIL) and hedges (VIXY = volatility futures; BTAL = defensive market‑neutral) and only buys a 3x Nasdaq fund (TQQQ) on deep dips when it looks washed‑out (RSI = 0–100 “hot vs cold” meter). It avoids risk if long‑Treasuries are sliding. If fear is low, it puts ~90% into Emerging Markets with 3x ETFs—EDC (up) or EDZ (down)—chosen by long‑term trend (200‑day average) plus a bonds‑vs‑stocks strength check. Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe ~2.02 vs S&P ~1.31, alpha ~0.80, Calmar ~4.21, and ~153% annualized return. A volatility-aware regime switch—cash/hedges in fear, leveraged EM when favorable—delivering higher risk-adjusted upside than the S&P.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 9, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, regime switching, leveraged etfs, volatility-aware, mean reversion, trend following, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares, Shares of beneficial interest, no par value
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks