Modified Foreign Rat (why does this work?!)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily, rules-based switching: in fearful markets, tactically ride or sidestep 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ); in calmer markets, swing-trade emerging markets (EDC/EDZ). Uses simple gauges—trend, “heat” (RSI), recent drops, and the fear index (VIX)—with cash/hedge fallbacks.
Each day it checks market fear (VIX). If fear is high, it trades 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ): buys after sharp dips or when the 25‑day trend is up, but hides in T‑Bills (BIL) or hedges (VIXY, BTAL) if things look overheated (RSI too high) or shaky (big drops). If fear is calmer, it trades emerging markets with 3x bull (EDC) or 3x bear (EDZ) for ~15 days, using two gauges: long‑term trend (200‑day average) and a “heat” meter (RSI) comparing bonds vs stocks.
Out-of-sample, this strategy beats the S&P 500 on risk-adjusted returns: Sharpe ~1.87 vs 1.14, Calmar ~3.93, annualized return ~143% vs ~20%, with higher drawdown (~36% vs ~19%) mitigated by regime-switching and hedges.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.76 | 0.85 | 0.06 | 0.24 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 637.94% | 14.81% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.9 | |
| 2,910,107.27% | 103.41% | -14.78% | 4.82% | 1.5 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$291,020,727.02Regulatory Fees
$528,750.99
Total Slippage
$3,787,208.12
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 3, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, regime switching, trend + mean reversion, nasdaq focus, emerging markets, risk hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks