Modified Foreign Rat BSC removed mod updated with 1x below spy200d and reduced lev FRs
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Tactical EM strategy that flips between bullish and bearish ETFs, sizes leverage by the S&P 500 trend, fades overheated/oversold moves with RSI, and uses bonds‑vs‑stocks strength to choose direction; holds T‑bills when dialing risk down.
Trades emerging‑markets stocks (EEM) using three checks:
1) Trend: If SPY is above its 200‑day average, it permits 3× funds; below, it dials risk down.
2) Short‑term heat via RSI (a 0–100 gauge of recent speed): RSI>80 = bearish EDZ+cash; RSI<25 = bullish EDC+cash.
3) Otherwise, compare bond vs stock strength (RSI of IEI vs IWM/EEM) to pick bull (EDC/EEM) or bear (EDZ or ~−1× via 1/3 EDZ+cash). BIL=T‑bills. Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample: ~108%/yr EM vs ~37% SPY; Calmar ~6.3, Sharpe ~2.05. Leverages up in uptrends, fades extremes with RSI, uses bond-vs-stock signals to manage risk - higher upside with risk-adjusted performance vs SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.57 | 0.64 | 0.05 | 0.23 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 913.58% | 14.41% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.84 | |
| 1,001,286.35% | 70.79% | -9.74% | 5.9% | 1.31 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$100,138,635.16Regulatory Fees
$197,784.70
Total Slippage
$1,404,452.14
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 30, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Emerging markets, tactical allocation, trend following, mean reversion (rsi), leveraged etfs, risk management, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks