Maximum Overdrive V0.1 (53,31,2011)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily, single‑position, risk‑on/risk‑off momentum strategy: rising fear → pick a safe haven; strong cyclicals → buy the strongest 2x–3x stock ETF; otherwise hold a defensive hedge. Uses short‑ vs long‑term strength scores.
Each day: 1) Check fear (UVXY). If its short‑term strength score beats its longer‑term score, assume turbulence and pick the “calmest” safety from BTAL (anti‑beta stocks), VBF (bonds), VDC (staples), or UGL (2x gold) by the smallest 5‑day drop. 2) Else check UCC (cyclical). If strong, go risk‑on and buy the hottest 2x–3x bull ETF: SPXL (S&P 500), TQQQ (Nasdaq‑100), ERX (Energy), CURE (Health), UDOW (Dow), UPW (Utilities), or UCC. 3) Else hold BTAL or SJB (inverse junk bonds). Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample return: ~45.46% vs SPY 29.21%; Calmar ~1.59. A regime-aware, single-position strategy aims for stronger long-run growth with risk-off hedges, though drawdowns can be larger in downturns.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 20, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical momentum, volatility regime, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, single-position, daily rebalanced, defensive hedges
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
SJB
ProShares Short High Yield
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UCC
ProShares Ultra Consumer Discretionary
Stocks
UDOW
ProShares UltraPro Dow 30
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks
UPW
ProShares Ultra Utilities
Stocks