Mama Bear Portfolio Approximation
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A monthly, momentum-driven portfolio that selects the top 3 performers from 9 broad ETFs based on 150-day gains and holds them in equal weights.
Plain-language explanation:
- Each month, look at nine broad ETFs that cover different parts of the market: EEM, VNQ, IWM, DBC, TLT, SPY, GLD, EFA, BIL.
- For each ETF, measure how much its price has risen over roughly the last 150 trading days (about 7–8 months). This is called the 150-day cumulative return.
- Rank all ETFs by that 150-day gain and pick the top 3 performers.
- Invest equally in those three chosen ETFs (about one-third of the portfolio in each). If there’s any cash left over after buying the three, it sits idle or is kept as cash until the next rebalance.
- At the start of the next month, repeat the process: recompute the rankings, sell what you’re not using, and buy the new top 3 with equal weights.
- The result is a simple, rules-based way to tilt toward assets that have recently shown strength while staying diversified across asset types. For laypeople: you’re following the market trend by giving money to the 3 strongest performers each month, spread evenly among them.
Out-of-sample edge: 46.28% annual return vs 29.29% for the S&P, Sharpe 3.22 vs 1.41, max drawdown 6.25% vs 13.73%, and low beta ~0.25. A diversified momentum strategy aiming for higher returns with lower risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.35 | 0.26 | 0.51 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 546.42% | 10.81% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.62 | |
| 338.43% | 8.47% | 3.85% | 15.69% | 0.66 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$43,842.70Regulatory Fees
$32.16
Total Slippage
$196.69
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 8, 2025
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, multi-asset, diversified, equal-weight, monthly-rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate ETF
Stocks