Macro Easing Cycle Rotation
Today’s Change (Jul 15, 2026)
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About
A simple monthly switch: if small US stocks have recently beaten long‑term Treasury bonds, tilt toward small caps and financials; otherwise tilt toward Treasuries and gold, keeping small slices of the other side for diversification.
What the tickers mean: IWM = US small‑company stocks; XLF = big banks/financials; TLT = long‑term US Treasury bonds; GLD = gold; BIL = cash‑like T‑bills.
Each month, compare last‑30‑day results of IWM vs TLT. If IWM did better (risk‑on): ~45% IWM, 35% XLF, 15% TLT, 5% GLD. If TLT did better (risk‑off): ~50% TLT, 30% GLD, 15% IWM, 5% BIL. It leans into growth when stocks lead and into safety when bonds lead.
Transparent monthly rotation between IWM and TLT, with hedges in GLD and BIL. While OOS returns lag SPY, the approach provides disciplined diversification, potential downside protection during regime shifts, and easy access via liquid ETFs.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03 | 0.34 | 0.23 | 0.48 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 597.69% | 10.71% | -0.14% | 8.54% | 0.61 | |
| 235.72% | 6.55% | 1.3% | 3.15% | 0.53 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$33,571.80Regulatory Fees
$34.02
Total Slippage
$241.84
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 16, 2026
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, risk-on/risk-off, small caps, financials, treasuries, gold, t-bills, monthly rebalance, momentum
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total