Generalized Protective Momentum Simplified Approximation
Today’s Change (Aug 23, 2026)
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About
A monthly, equal-sleeve trend strategy in SPY (S&P 500), QQQ (big tech), and IWM (small caps). Each sleeve holds its ETF when the last ~30 trading days are net positive; otherwise it shifts to cash-like T‑Bills (BIL) or Treasuries (IEF) for protection.
Each month, your money is split into 3 equal parts (sleeves).
- Sleeve 1: If the S&P 500 (SPY) had a net-positive last ~30 trading days, hold SPY; otherwise hold T‑Bills (BIL).
- Sleeve 2: If big tech (QQQ) is up over ~30 days, hold QQQ; otherwise hold 7–10 yr US Treasuries (IEF).
- Sleeve 3: If small caps (IWM) are up, hold IWM; otherwise hold BIL.
Goal: ride uptrends, hide in safer assets when trends turn down.
Three-sleeve momentum with a defensive shield: stay in uptrends (SPY/QQQ/IWM) and rotate to cash/treasuries when trends fade. Out-of-sample: Sharpe 1.63 vs 1.38, drawdown 6.8% vs 13.7%, higher Calmar—better risk-adjusted returns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03 | 0.44 | 0.39 | 0.63 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610.58% | 10.75% | 2.33% | 3.36% | 0.62 | |
| 280.59% | 7.21% | 0.74% | 2.64% | 0.58 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$38,059.33Regulatory Fees
$40.36
Total Slippage
$317.18
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 8, 2025
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical asset allocation, risk-managed equities, momentum, defensive overlay