Funcle - Risk Adjusted Rotator outperforms SPX (18, 12, 2012)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A rules-based, tactical portfolio rotating among Treasuries (long or short), gold, and the energy complex. It follows trends, avoids overheated moves, and shifts to cash-like Treasuries when signals weaken. Uses some leveraged/inverse ETFs. Rebalanced daily.
It splits money across 3 sleeves and rebalances daily: (1) Interest rates & gold: trades TMF/TMV (3x up/down long‑term US Treasuries), TLT/TBF (1x), GLD, or parks in SHV/SHY/BND using trends (moving averages) and “heat” (RSI: 0–100; <30 cool/cheap, >70 hot). (2) Energy: rotates among oil/gas ETFs and stocks (XLE, XOP, XOM, CVX, etc.), UCO/BOIL/KOLD, or hedges with DUG/IEF via the same rules. (3) A simple XLE trend backup.
Out-of-sample, this strategy beats the S&P on risk-adjusted return and drawdown: Sharpe 2.91 vs 1.32; annualized return 28.8% vs 16.3%; max drawdown 3.1% vs 5.1%; beta ~0.24. A disciplined, rules-based, diversified rotation.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.06 | 0.25 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 499.88% | 14.16% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.87 | |
| 920.62% | 18.73% | 4.01% | 10.8% | 1.58 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$102,062.07Regulatory Fees
$372.75
Total Slippage
$2,123.12
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 29, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset rotation, trend following, momentum + mean reversion, energy & commodities, rates, gold, leveraged/inverse etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 29 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BOIL
ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas
Stocks
COP
ConocoPhillips
Stocks
CVE
Cenovus Energy Inc.
Stocks
CVX
Chevron Corporation
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
DINO
HF Sinclair Corporation
Stocks
DUG
ProShares UltraShort Energy
Stocks
ENPH
Enphase Energy, Inc.
Stocks
FAN
First Trust Global Wind Energy ETF
Stocks