Funcle - Risk Adjusted Rotator outperforms SPX (18, 12, 2012)
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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About
A daily trend‑following rotation across US rates (long/short long‑term Treasuries), gold, and energy (oil, natural gas, clean energy). It rides uptrends, parks in cash‑like bonds when weak, and can short. Uses moving averages, RSI, and some leveraged ETFs.
Daily‑rebalanced, 3‑sleeve rotation.
1) Rates: flips between TMF (wins if long‑term rates fall) and TMV (wins if they rise). Uses moving averages (trend) and RSI (0–100 heat: high=hot, low=cold). If signals are weak, parks in SHV/SHY/IEF/BND/TLT.
2) Gold: holds GLD only when long/medium‑term trends are up; else cash.
3) Energy: trades oil/nat‑gas with ETFs (XLE/XOP/DBO, UNG/BOIL/KOLD, UCO) and sometimes top stocks (XOM, CVX), going long, short, or cash by trend.
Out-of-sample, a daily 3-sleeve rotation in rates, gold, and energy delivers ~29% annual return with ~3.1% max drawdown and Sharpe ~2.91—much better risk-adjusted performance vs. the S&P 500's ~16% return and ~5% drawdown.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.06 | 0.25 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509.29% | 14.32% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.88 | |
| 908.7% | 18.67% | 5.92% | 11.07% | 1.57 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$100,869.72Regulatory Fees
$370.62
Total Slippage
$2,110.00
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 29, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation,momentum/trend,treasuries & rates,gold,energy & commodities,leveraged/inverse etfs,risk-managed,daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 29 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BOIL
ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas
Stocks
COP
ConocoPhillips
Stocks
CVE
Cenovus Energy Inc.
Stocks
CVX
Chevron Corporation
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
DINO
HF Sinclair Corporation
Stocks
DUG
ProShares UltraShort Energy
Stocks
ENPH
Enphase Energy, Inc.
Stocks
FAN
First Trust Global Wind Energy ETF
Stocks