Even Steven
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A monthly, tactical strategy: 20% tilts to the two strongest US stock index funds; the other 80% flips—into Bitcoin ETFs when the S&P 500 is hot, dividend ETFs when it’s weak, or a short-term momentum mix of bonds and stocks otherwise.
Monthly rebalance. 20%: split between the two best of SPY=S&P 500, QQQ=NASDAQ-100, DIA=Dow, IWM=small caps (by ~30d trend). 80%: if S&P 500 is strong ~60d (>5%), go to Bitcoin ETFs (BITO, BTF). If weak ~30d (<1%), go to dividend ETFs (VYM, DVY). Otherwise split among the best three of TLT, IEF, BND, AGG, SPY, DIA, QQQ (by ~15d trend).
Better risk-adjusted performance than the S&P 500: higher out-of-sample Sharpe (0.98 vs 0.84), lower drawdowns (14.5% vs 18.8%), Calmar ~1.03, and ~15% annualized return—similar upside, with notably less downside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01 | 0.75 | 0.79 | 0.89 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.52% | 11.35% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.7 | |
| 50.87% | 9.93% | 0.21% | 6.15% | 0.71 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$15,087.40Regulatory Fees
$2.29
Total Slippage
$11.96
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 17, 2024
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation,momentum rotation,risk-on/risk-off,us equities,bonds,bitcoin futures,dividend tilt,monthly rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTF
Valkyrie ETF Trust II CoinShares Bitcoin and Ether ETF
Stocks
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
DVY
iShares Select Dividend ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks