ETF Sort, Daily 60d Bond Trend, 2d Bond Trend, Drawdown, Vix
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily-rebalanced, leveraged ETF strategy that selects up to three top performers from a broad US-equity/leveraged pool, uses short-term momentum against cash, and applies bond-trend and volatility hedges to manage risk. It shifts into defensive assets when volatility or rate risks rise, balancing growth with protection.
- It scans a broad set of US equity-related ETFs, including leveraged bulls, to measure recent performance. It ranks them by cumulative return and picks the top three candidates.
- For each top candidate, it uses a front-runner test that compares short-term momentum against a cash proxy (1–3 month T-bill ETF like BIL). If the momentum is strong, it buys or holds that leveraged ETF; if not, it may shift into defensives.
- The system layers in bond-trend rules (longer and shorter bond trend signals) to decide whether market conditions favor risk-on (more stocks and leverage) or risk-off (defensive bonds/gold/dollar).
- It includes volatility hedges: if volatility surges or risk signals worsen, the algorithm moves into volatility-related or inverse-volatility assets (UVXY, SVXY, SDS, SQQQ) or into traditional hedges (IEF, GLD, UUP, TMF).
- Drawdown and VIX-type considerations are used to avoid chasing losses and to tilt toward safety when needed.
- Rebalancing happens daily, so the allocation can swing quickly with market conditions.
- The net exposure is typically in leveraged long ETFs when risk is on, but can flip to a basket of defensive assets to protect capital during risk-off periods.
- The portfolio mix spans large-cap tech/information systems proxies (via QQQ-like products), broad US equities (SPY, IWM, MDY), and some alternative exposures (EM markets via EDC, Emerging Market Bull 3x, etc.), plus a set of hedges to manage volatility and rate risk.
- The overall aim is to capture upside in trending markets while using a disciplined risk framework to limit downturns; however, it remains a high-risk, high-turnover approach that may experience substantial drawdowns in choppy or rapidly reversing markets.
Out-of-sample annualized return 20.64% vs SPY 19.22%, driven by momentum in top leveraged ETFs and adaptive hedging. Daily rebalancing targets trend upside with risk controls; note higher drawdown in volatile markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.36 | 1.14 | 0.31 | 0.56 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 483.09% | 14.28% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.88 | |
| 50,753.06% | 60.3% | -6.93% | -2.27% | 1.54 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,085,305.78Regulatory Fees
$19,346.08
Total Slippage
$125,368.42
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 26, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Quantitative, leveraged etfs, trend-following, volatility controls, multi-asset risk hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 26 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
MDY
State Street SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust
Stocks