Emerging Markets v0.1 (by HinnomTX?)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Hides in short‑term Treasuries when market fear is rising. Otherwise follows the US dollar trend: weak dollar → buy one leveraged emerging‑market bull ETF on a short dip; strong dollar → buy either short EM or long USD on a dip. One holding at a time.
1) Crash check: if VIXY (a market “fear” ETF) shows a strong multi‑month rise (high 97‑day RSI, a 0–100 recent‑move score), park in SHY (short‑term Treasuries).
2) Else, read the US dollar via UUP: if its 15‑day average is below its 200‑day average (EMA), the dollar is weak → buy one leveraged EM stock ETF (EDC/KORU/INDL/BRZU) with the lowest 5‑day RSI (a short‑term dip). If the dollar is strong → buy the more dipped of EDZ (short EM) or USDU (long USD). Hold until rules change.
Out-of-sample: 25.5% annualized vs SPY ~23.3%, with a USD/EM regime-switching strategy that adds diversification and upside. Hedge in fear with SHY, then pivot to USD/EM—higher upside but larger drawdowns in crises.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.72 | -0.14 | 0 | -0.05 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 357.55% | 13.32% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.81 | |
| 105,554.03% | 77.3% | 28.06% | 8.92% | 1.38 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$10,565,403.12Regulatory Fees
$46,511.59
Total Slippage
$315,791.79
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 16, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Emerging markets, regime switching, dollar trend, leveraged etfs, crash hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BRZU
Direxion Daily MSCI Brazil Bull 2X Shares
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares, Shares of beneficial interest, no par value
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
INDL
Direxion Daily MSCI India Bull 2X Shares
Stocks
KORU
Direxion Daily South Korea Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
USDU
WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks