Emerging Markets EM (46,29,2007)
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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About
A daily tactical EM strategy that flips between EEM (long EM stocks) and EUM (inverse EM) using an oversold buy signal, a 200‑day trend filter, and short‑term momentum checks across bonds, energy, small‑caps, and dividend stocks.
- What it trades: EEM (emerging‑market stocks) or EUM (the inverse of EM stocks). The other ETFs are just signals: IGIB (US corporate bonds), DBE (energy), ISCB/IWM (US small‑caps), DLN (US dividend stocks).
- Step 1 (oversold override): If EEM’s 14‑day momentum score (RSI) drops below 30, it buys EEM (assumes a sharp sell‑off may rebound).
- Step 2: Otherwise, it splits money across two decision “sleeves,” rebalanced daily. Most of each sleeve (about 90%) goes into EEM or EUM, with a small cash buffer.
• Sleeve A (trend‑gated): If EEM is above its 200‑day average (long‑term uptrend), it compares short‑term momentum of bonds (IGIB) vs energy (DBE). If bonds look stronger, it holds EEM; if energy looks stronger, it holds EUM. If EEM is below its 200‑day average (downtrend), it instead compares two small‑cap ETFs (ISCB vs IWM) and makes the same EEM/EUM choice based on which looks stronger.
• Sleeve B (always on): It compares bonds (IGIB) vs dividend stocks (DLN). If bonds are stronger, it holds EEM; if dividend stocks are stronger, it holds EUM.
- Net effect: When signals point to risk‑on, it owns EEM; when they point to risk‑off, it owns EUM. If EEM gets very oversold, it temporarily forces a long position in EEM.
Out-of-sample edge: higher risk-adjusted return with lower drawdown. OOS Sharpe 3.54 vs SPY 2.47; OOS annualized return 59.75% vs 28.79%; max drawdown 4.68% vs 5.07%; Calmar 12.77. Diversified EM timing with hedges.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.39 | 0.15 | 0.02 | 0.13 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 542.99% | 10.78% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.61 | |
| 100,871.2% | 46.31% | 8.56% | 17.06% | 1.78 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$10,097,120.08Regulatory Fees
$41,971.33
Total Slippage
$274,253.48
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 4, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Emerging markets, tactical allocation, momentum, trend following, rsi, moving average, relative strength, inverse etf
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBE
Invesco DB Energy Fund
Stocks
DLN
WisdomTree U.S. LargeCap Dividend Fund
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EUM
ProShares Trust Short MSCI Emerging Markets
Stocks
IGIB
iShares Trust iShares 5-10 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
ISCB
iShares Morningstar Small-Cap ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks