EM updated with 1x below spy200d and reduced lev FRs
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A tactical Emerging Markets strategy that sets risk by SPY’s 200‑day trend, buys oversold EM bounces, and flips bull/bear by a short‑term bonds‑vs‑stocks “heat” check. Uses 3x long/short in risk‑on, ~1x in risk‑off, with a T‑bill buffer; rebalanced daily.
Tickers: SPY=S&P 500; EEM=Emerging Mkts; EDC=3x long EM; EDZ=3x short EM; IWM=small‑caps; IEI=3–7Y Treas.; IGIB=corp bonds; BIL/SHV=T‑bills. RSI=0–100 “heat” score.
• SPY above 200‑day? Use 3x; else 1x/−1x.
• If EEM very oversold (RSI<25): 68% EDC + 32% T‑bills.
• Else choose bull/bear by which is hotter now: bonds (IEI/IGIB) vs stocks (IWM/SPY/EEM). Bonds>stocks → bearish (EDZ/EUM); else bullish (EDC/EEM). Holds some T‑bills. EM sectors: tech, financials, consumer, materials/energy.
Out-of-sample, this tactical EM strategy delivers superior risk-adjusted performance vs the S&P: OOS Sharpe ~2.49, OOS Calmar ~9, OOS alpha ~1.0, SPY beta near zero, with daily rebalancing and ballast to curb drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.74 | 0.51 | 0.03 | 0.18 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 913.58% | 14.41% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.84 | |
| 15,660,210.17% | 100.37% | -9.74% | 11.02% | 1.64 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,566,031,016.66Regulatory Fees
$2,552,139.28
Total Slippage
$18,329,860.69
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 30, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Emerging markets, tactical allocation, trend & momentum, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IGIB
iShares Trust iShares 5-10 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks