EM GFC
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily, multi-signal tactical strategy that tilts toward EM stocks (via EEM) when momentum/trend look favorable, hedges with EUM if not, blends with US stocks (SPY) or IGIB (defensive exposure), and uses a cash-like buffer (BIL). It’s a momentum-and-trend driven system that rebalances every day to seek EM upside while limiting drawdown.
What it does in plain language:
- It opens with EM exposure as the core but only when EM shows clear momentum versus US stocks and is technically in an uptrend (price above a long-term moving average).
- It uses RSI, a momentum gauge, to compare EM momentum against other assets (e.g., short-term Treasuries, US stocks). If EM looks stronger on these momentum tests, it leans into EM (EEM).
- If EM momentum isn’t favorable, it can hedge by using a short EM ETF (EUM) to dampen potential losses.
- It also tests two alternative paths (IGIBvEEM and IGIBvSPY) to blend EM/US exposure with a defensive/bond-like overlay (IGIB) depending on momentum comparisons against EEM and SPY.
- A cash-like layer (BIL) is used when conditions favor safety, checked against its own moving-average signal.
- All signals combine into a final equity allocation, and the system rebalances daily to reflect the latest signals. A lot of the logic hinges on: current price vs 200-day MA (trend), RSI windows (momentum), and relative comparisons (which asset shows stronger momentum).
Out-of-sample, this strategy beats the S&P: ~35% annualized return vs ~19.6%, Sharpe ~1.82 vs ~1.10, drawdown ~15% vs 18.8%, and Calmar ~2.35. It dynamically tilts to EM with hedges and cash-like buffers, rebalanced daily for risk control.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 3, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Emerging markets, momentum, relative strength, tactical allocation, daily rebalance, equity hedging, cash-like safety
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EUM
ProShares Trust Short MSCI Emerging Markets
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IGIB
iShares Trust iShares 5-10 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks