EM ftlt from 2007 @ 2 Sharpe | Version 2
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily, 25% EM-tilt, momentum-driven, multi-asset strategy using RSI checks among EM and US ETFs with hedges and a risk-off gate, rebalanced every day.
Daily, the strategy allocates 25% of the portfolio to EM-oriented bets and keeps the rest in cash or other groups. It first checks a risk gate: SHV (short Treasuries) price relative to its 50-day average. If SHV is above its 50-day average (risk-off conditions not strong), it runs three momentum checks to decide which EM and US exposures to favor:
- Block 1 (EM): compares momentum signals from EDC (a levered EM ETF) against IEI (a bond proxy) and IWM (US small caps). If EM momentum beats the comparison, the model leans toward the long EM leg (EDC); if not, it may switch to the hedge (EDZ, the EM bear ETF).
- Block 2: IGIB vs EEM uses a similar RSI-based decision to tilt toward IGIB or use EDZ as hedge.
- Block 3: IGIB vs SPY uses RSI momentum to tilt toward IGIB or hedge.
Within each block, a strong momentum signal typically yields a 90% allocation to the chosen leg in that block; otherwise, the system selects the hedge (EDZ) or alternative leg. If SHV is below its 50-day average (risk-off posture), a different branch with adjusted comparisons is used. All decisions are based on simple momentum ideas (RSI), expressed via a set of IF-THEN rules that pick which ETF to hold. The whole system is rebalanced every trading day. Notes: ETFs tickers are shorthand for funds (e.g., EEM = emerging markets stocks, SPY = S&P 500, IWM = small-cap US stocks, EDC/EDZ = leveraged/bear EM ETFs, IGIB/IEI = other bond/equity cross-checks). The aim is to maintain EM exposure while controlling risk through hedges and a disciplined, regular rebalance cadence.
Out-of-sample Sharpe about 1.37 vs SPY 0.91, with alpha and a disciplined daily RSI-driven EM tilt with hedges. Stronger risk-adjusted returns and diversified multi-asset exposure vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.07 | 0.26 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 913.58% | 14.41% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.84 | |
| 168,681,284.28% | 130.05% | -9.74% | 11.02% | 1.64 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$16,868,138,427.59Regulatory Fees
$27,876,700.26
Total Slippage
$200,503,253.91
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 12, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Quantitative, momentum, tactical allocation, multi-asset, em tilt, levered/inverse etfs, daily rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IGIB
iShares Trust iShares 5-10 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks