EM
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About
A daily trading strategy that tries to time emerging markets. In panics it moves to T-bills; otherwise it uses aggressive 3x bullish or bearish emerging-markets funds based on trend, momentum, and macro signals.
This strategy is a fast-moving market-timing system focused on emerging-market stocks.
First, it checks market fear using VIXM. If fear is extremely high, it hides in BIL (short-term Treasury bills).
If not, it usually bets on emerging markets using either EDC (a 3x bullish fund) or EDZ (a 3x bearish fund). It decides by checking whether emerging markets look washed out, whether the long-term trend is up or down, and whether bonds, stocks, and inflation-related funds are acting stronger or weaker.
Out-of-sample upside with diversifying beta: ~30.6% annualized vs S&P 16.7%, negative beta to dampen market moves, plus a built-in crisis hedge (BIL). Higher volatility, but potential for stronger EM-driven returns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$821,133,637.36Regulatory Fees
$2,664,144.73
Total Slippage
$25,629,514.04
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 18, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Emerging markets, tactical asset allocation, leveraged etfs, long-short, volatility filter, macro regime
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
CORP
PIMCO Investment Grade Corporate Bond Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
RINF
ProShares Inflation Expectations ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks