Degen Version VIXM vs. SVXY | AaronC
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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About
A daily, high‑octane switcher: when “fear” (VIXM) outmuscles “calm” (SVXY), it holds BTAL and short‑term defensive winners; when calm wins, it rotates into the 2 strongest leveraged stock ETFs. Very high risk, fast‑turnover.
It first measures whether fear is rising or falling by comparing momentum (RSI = a 0–100 score of recent up vs down days) of VIXM (rises when market fear persists) to SVXY (benefits when fear fades).
If fear > calm: go defensive—hold BTAL (anti‑beta hedge) plus 3 short‑term winners from staples/health/defense/energy lists, or a BTAL/SSO/QLD hedge mix.
If calm > fear: go aggressive—split between the 2 strongest 3x equity ETFs (UPRO/TQQQ/UDOW/GUSH). Rebalanced daily.
Proven out-of-sample strategy that aims to beat the S&P with higher risk-adjusted return and lower market beta: oos annualized return ~45%, Sharpe ~1.27, alpha ~0.30, beta ~0.61, Calmar ~1.91. Note higher drawdown (~24%).
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 4, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility regime switching, leveraged etf rotation, momentum, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalance, sector/commodity tilts
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 19 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DFEN
Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
GUSH
Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
SCO
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil
Stocks
SSG
ProShares UltraShort Semiconductors
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks