Defensive Asset Allocation Approximation
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A monthly, rules‑based portfolio that goes fully defensive after weak market signals; otherwise it splits between the best safe bond and the six strongest assets across stocks, bonds, real estate, commodities, and gold.
Each month it checks last‑month performance. If either Emerging Markets stocks (EEM) or the broad U.S. bond market (AGG) fell, it moves 100% into the single best “safe” bond fund: SHY (short‑term Treasuries), IEF (7‑10y Treasuries), or LQD (high‑grade corporates). Otherwise, it puts 50% in that best safe bond and 50% spread equally across the six strongest areas of global stocks, real estate, commodities, gold, and bonds. Then it rebalances monthly.
Out-of-sample edge vs the S&P 500: Sharpe 2.33 vs 1.41, Calmar 4.83, max drawdown 3.22% vs 13.73%, and 15.54% annualized oos return. Defensive, rules-based rotations deliver upside with far lower risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.15 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 523.41% | 10.23% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.59 | |
| 128.79% | 4.5% | -0.31% | 4.52% | 0.7 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$22,878.62Regulatory Fees
$69.91
Total Slippage
$452.99
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 8, 2025
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, momentum, defensive, etf rotation, monthly rebalance, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EWJ
iShares MSCI Japan ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
LQD
iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks