Conservative - Sector Rotation
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily rules-based rotation. Buys the most oversold leader among SPY/QQQ/XLK/SMH in good conditions; shifts to defensive sectors/bonds/cash when risk rises (transports vs staples, Treasuries vs stocks, volatility). Can use KMLM (managed futures) as a diversifier.
It uses a “hot/cold” score (RSI: 0–100; high=hot, low=cold) to judge momentum and dips. If Tech (XLK) looks stronger than managed‑futures KMLM (a trend‑following diversifier), it buys whichever of SPY/QQQ/XLK/SMH has dipped most (lowest score). If transports lag staples, if Treasuries beat stocks, or if short‑term volatility spikes, it shifts to bonds/defensive sectors/cash (BIL), sometimes via brief leveraged ETFs. If Tech is not stronger, it picks the strongest of T‑Bills, KMLM, small‑caps, or SPY and stays more defensive. Rebalances daily.
Dynamic, rules-based sector rotation across equities, bonds, cash, and KMLM futures with risk-on/off guards. Out-of-sample: low beta (~0.68), max drawdown ~7.3%, strong risk-adjusted returns, and high Calmar—often more resilient than the S&P 500.
Loading backtest data...
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 22, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Sector rotation, momentum/rsi, mean‑reversion, risk‑on/off, treasuries vs stocks, managed futures (kmlm), defensive/cash, leveraged/inverse etfs, daily
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 31 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
EVN
Eaton Vance Municipal Income Trust
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IWM
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Stocks
IYT
iShares U.S. Transportation ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks