(C) NOVA | (MAG7 2x) Simons KMLM switcher (single pops)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A rule-based momentum rotation using KMLM as the core overlay, selecting top leveraged bets (from AMZU/AAPB and peers) when momentum is strong, with hedges (BIL, VIXY, VIXM, UUP) to manage risk; MSTR/CONL are included to broaden the momentum universe and backtests favoring AMZU/AAPB. The aim is to ride short-term trends while buffering downside.
- The system maintains a core rotation around KMLM (a managed-futures ETF). When momentum on Nasdaq proxies is extreme, it shifts into a small, high-mork set of levered bets selected from a universe that includes MSTR, CONL, AMZU, AAPB, and other momentum candidates. - A short-term momentum screen (RSI) ranks a candidate list and selects the top two names to consider for exposure. - An RSI gate using a 10-day window on a Nasdaq proxy (QQQE) with a high threshold (79) acts as a trigger for switching into the KMLM-driven path or into the alternate long/short rotation. - The KMLM path can lead to exposure through 2x/3x levered tech and growth plays (e.g., TECL, SOXL, SPXL) and sometimes a long/short rotator. - Hedge/flex positions (BIL, VIXY, VIXM, UUP) are layered into the decisions to limit drawdowns during risk-off periods. - The backtest note indicates a preference for AMZU and AAPB to achieve a longer backtest horizon (1+ year). - The end product is a single, blended signal that upgrades exposure to top momentum names while applying KMLM as a trend-follower overlay, with hedges to reduce risk.
Rule-based momentum with hedges to ride trends and limit risk. Out-of-sample: ~3.6%/yr, oos Sharpe ~0.28, Calmar ~0.17. Offers diversification and potential downside protection, though drawdowns can exceed the S&P in stress.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.28 | 1.55 | 0.16 | 0.4 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85.27% | 21.26% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 1.35 | |
| 9,299.36% | 313.9% | 2.61% | 0.03% | 2.71 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$939,935.97Regulatory Fees
$4,048.87
Total Slippage
$25,228.60
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 6, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Quantitative rotation, leveraged etfs, multi-asset strategy, managed futures overlay, hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 30 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPB
GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Long AAPL Daily ETF
Stocks
AMZU
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion Daily AMZN Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
CONL
GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
FNGG
Direxion Daily NYSE FANG+ Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
GGLL
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion Daily GOOGL Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
MSFU
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X ETF
Stocks