BIL Replacement | vt but add some crash catcher
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily tactical “cash-plus” strategy. In good times it tilts to diversifiers (gold, managed futures KMLM, market-neutral BTAL, Bitcoin, momentum). When risk rises, it shifts to T-bills/short-TIPS, defensive sectors, bonds, or hedges (short/VIX). Includes some leveraged/inverse funds.
This daily, rules-based “cash-plus” mix aims to beat T-bills while sidestepping big drops. It uses simple trend/heat checks (are prices rising, falling, overheated, or washed out?). In calm uptrends it owns diversifiers: gold (GLD), managed futures (KMLM—trend-following in commodities/rates/FX), market-neutral stocks (BTAL), Bitcoin (BITO), and momentum leaders. When risk rises (volatility spikes or downtrends), it shifts to T-bills/short-TIPS, defensive sectors (staples/utilities), bonds, or hedges (short/VIX funds). In panics it may briefly use leveraged ETFs for rebounds.
Out-of-sample results show strong risk-adjusted performance and crash protection: beta ~0.17, max drawdown ~3.1%, Calmar ~3.0, Sharpe ~1.8. Diversified gold/futures/hedges guard against selloffs while offering steadier risk-adjusted gains vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.24 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.4 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.25% | 21.94% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 1.34 | |
| 89.25% | 31.26% | 1.35% | 0.59% | 4.39 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$18,924.83Regulatory Fees
$27.28
Total Slippage
$127.58
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 10, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical multi-asset, cash-plus, trend-following, defensive rotation, crash protection, volatility hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 51 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin ETF
Stocks
BOXX
Alpha Architect 1-3 Month Box ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CAOS
Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF
Stocks
CORP
PIMCO Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks
DFEN
Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares, Shares of beneficial interest, no par value
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks