Bil Replacement | vt
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules-based multi-sleeve portfolio that blends inverse-volatility risk balancing, defensive market signals, momentum in commodities and broad markets, and a tail-risk hedge. It tilts between gold/hedges, defensive sectors (XLP/XLU/XLV), commodities, and broad market/exposure ETFs, with several signal-driven layers (including a KMLM threshold) to decide when to lean into or away from risk. The goal is to balance risk while attempting to participate in uptrends, using automated, diversified asset choices across equities, gold, crypto proxies, and commodity/sector ETFs.
- The strategy runs every day and looks at a large set of ETFs. It builds a few sleeves or sub-portfolios that determine how much money goes to each asset. The main sleeves are:
1) Bil Balancer: uses inverse-volatility rules to tilt toward steadier assets like gold or hedged funds, with a small safety net that can switch to a tail-risk hedge if a short-term condition is met.
2) Inverse-Volatility Ballast (Inv Vol Ballast V4 SBT): another risk-balancing layer that treats volatility as a guide: less-volatile assets get more weight. Within this sleeve, it splits into defensive assets (XLP, XLU, XLV) and commodities (PDBC, XME), with momentum tests that decide when to tilt toward or away from these groups.
3) Signal layers for XLP and XLU (Gobi): several signal groups look at how XLP and XLU have performed recently versus the market (and against a threshold like KMLM). If momentum and returns look strong, the sleeve tilts toward these defensive ETFs; if not, it reduces exposure or shifts to other parts of the portfolio.
- The allocations are rebalanced daily, meaning the system recalculates weights and buys/sells accordingly.
- The aim is to maintain a balance between protection during downturns and participation in uptrends, using a blend of risk-parity ideas, momentum, and defensive tilts.
- In plain words: think of a smart, rule-based mix that tries to keep risk steady by favoring calmer assets when markets get rocky, while still trying to capture gains when trends look favorable, and using a tail-risk hedge as a safety valve at times.
Out-of-sample, this rules-based multi-sleeve strategy offers better risk-adjusted returns and far lower drawdowns vs the S&P 500: Sharpe ~2.74 vs 2.64, max drawdown ~1.9% vs 5.1%, beta ~0.13, Calmar ~5.25. Diversified, automated hedging.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.31 | 0.55 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61.06% | 21.45% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 1.32 | |
| 53.59% | 19.12% | 0.17% | 1.88% | 4.07 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$15,358.64Regulatory Fees
$16.99
Total Slippage
$56.51
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 23, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, risk-parity, trend-following, defensive-equities, hedging, signals-based allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 21 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin ETF
Stocks
BOXX
Alpha Architect 1-3 Month Box ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CAOS
Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF
Stocks
CORP
PIMCO Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DFEN
Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
FDN
First Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IGIB
iShares Trust iShares 5-10 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks