Backtest - Sector Reversion & Beta Flipping (Quarterly)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A quarterly, rules-based mix of contrarian sector rotation and trend-timed leverage, balanced by gold, commodities, and managed-futures diversifiers. It buys recent laggards and uses Treasuries/anti‑beta to help offset stock risk.
Every quarter the portfolio splits into four sleeves:
- Sector bounce: from U.S. & global sectors plus Treasuries, buy the 3 that fell most over the past 2–4 weeks (bet on a rebound).
- Diversifiers: gold, broad commodities, and managed futures (DBMF, KMLM).
- Leverage timing: if the S&P 500 is trending up, own 3x S&P (UPRO); if not, shift to international stocks (VEU). Also buy two recent laggards among anti‑beta (BTAL), long Treasuries (ZROZ), 2x Tech, 2x Health.
- Dynamic tilt: add more to the weaker (recently lagging) sector-bounce sleeve.
Diversified, quarterly, rules-based strategy: contrarian sector rotation, leverage timing, and hedges (gold, commodities, futures, Treasuries). OOS: 13.1% return, 23.3% max drawdown, Calmar 0.56, Sharpe 0.69—adds regime hedging and diversification beyond the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1 | 0.74 | 0.67 | 0.82 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 399.04% | 13.79% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.84 | |
| 977.95% | 21.06% | 1.83% | 4.39% | 1.31 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$107,795.04Regulatory Fees
$30.97
Total Slippage
$197.35
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 28, 2024
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Quarterly rebalance, sector rotation, mean reversion, leverage timing, managed futures, treasuries, gold, commodities, global sectors
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 34 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EDV
Vanguard World Funds Extended Duration ETF
Stocks
EXI
iShares Global Industrials ETF
Stocks
FMF
First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IXC
iShares Global Energy ETF
Stocks
IXG
iShares Global Financials ETF
Stocks