Backtest - Sector Reversion & Beta Flipping (Quarterly)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A quarterly-rebalanced, multi-asset strategy that uses contrarian sector bets, global mean-reversion, hedges, and selective leverage to seek growth with diversification, plus a live-tactical diversifier swap.
- Every quarter, the portfolio is rebalanced across a mix of sector ETFs, global sector/treasury assets, diversifiers, and levered bets.
- Sector Reversion: look at how different sectors performed over the last 63 days and overweight the weakest one(s) to bet on a bounce back toward normal performance.
- Global Sector & Treasury Mean Reversion: similar contrarian tilt applied to a broader set of global sector ETFs plus Treasury exposures, selecting the laggards over shorter windows and weighting them in an 80/100 split within the chosen group.
- Diversifiers: add hedges that tend to behave differently from stocks (examples include gold, commodity indices, and managed futures type funds) to dampen risk.
- Leverage: introduce higher-risk, higher-potential bets such as levered equity exposure (e.g., 2x health or 2x tech) and beta-flipping components. A moving-average rule on the S&P 500 (30-day vs 200-day) determines whether to place a levered S&P 500 bet (UPRO) or switch to other assets (like broad international exposure VE U).
- Dynamic: an additional layer that blends sector reversion and leverage signals with different window lengths, creating a flexible exposure profile within the quarterly cycle.
- Live mode swap: currently replaces FMF/BTAL with DBMF/KMLM in the diversifier sleeve, adjusting the hedging/alternative exposure to align with current market regime expectations.
Quarterly, multi-asset strategy adds hedges, contrarian bets, and regime-aware leverage to diversify beyond the S&P 500, aiming for steadier risk-adjusted returns and resilience in volatile markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1 | 0.74 | 0.67 | 0.82 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 387.31% | 13.54% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.83 | |
| 952.04% | 20.77% | -1.45% | 2.44% | 1.29 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$105,204.33Regulatory Fees
$30.97
Total Slippage
$197.35
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 28, 2024
Trading Setting
Quarterly
Type
Stocks
Category
Retirement, sector-rotation, mean-reversion, hedged, multi-asset, leveraged, quarterly-rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 34 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EDV
Vanguard World Funds Extended Duration ETF
Stocks
EXI
iShares Global Industrials ETF
Stocks
FMF
First Trust Managed Futures Strategy Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IXC
iShares Global Energy ETF
Stocks
IXG
iShares Global Financials ETF
Stocks